As the favorites for the title begin to take shape and the stars of the season take the reins, each new Premier League matchday brings a surge of betting opportunities.
We have four games to target on Saturday’s EPL schedule, and our staff has come up clutch with picks for all of them. Continue reading for our Premier League best bets for Saturday, November 22.
English Premier League Best Bets
The club logos in the table below represent each match that our soccer betting staff is targeting from today’s games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
Chelsea hasn’t had it all its own way this season, but it started to build momentum before the international break. Enzo Maresca’s side now sits 3rd in the Premier League and has the necessary quality to beat Burnley.
The Clarets produced a lackluster performance at West Ham before the international break, losing 3-2. In that match, the home side netted three goals and posted an xG (expected goals) of 3.06, a concern for Scott Parker as his team prepares to face a capable Chelsea. Burnley has also struggled going forward. It has the lowest xG in the division, with 8.3, indicating the team has been fortunate to score 14.
The Blues have now won four of their last five league matches, keeping clean sheets in three of those games. During that run, Chelsea has scored an average of two goals per game and conceded just two. Under 4.5 goals won in all four of those matches, so adding that to an away win gives us appealing odds.
Pick: Chelsea to Win & Under 4.5 Goals
West Ham United vs. AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat against Aston Villa before the international break. Still, Andoni Iraola’s side’s matches rank amongst the most goal-friendly in the Premier League, with an average of 3.18 goals per game. Bournemouth has been clinical in front of goal, netting 18 from an xG of 15.07, so it should have what it takes to find the net at home on matchday 12.
West Ham appointed Nuno Espirito Santo to steer the club from relegation, and there have been signs of a revival in recent matches. The Hammers earned a 3-1 win over Newcastle before beating Burnley 3-2. The direct attacking approach certainly paid dividends in those matches, as Nuno’s team racked up a total of 15 attempts in each.
Recent victories will have West Ham believing it can come away with all three points, and it will undoubtedly be confident of getting on the scoresheet. We are backing both teams to score in this one, a bet that has won in the last four league head-to-heads between the two.
Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes
Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool
Liverpool was comprehensively beaten by Manchester City at the Etihad last weekend, but we are backing Arne Slot’s team to bounce back with a win as it returns to Anfield. The Reds have won their last two competitive matches at Anfield, keeping clean sheets in both. In fact, the team has lost just two of its 24 home league games, winning 18 and averaging 2.17 goals per game.
Sean Dyche took over Nottingham Forest with the club in free fall. Things have started to improve, as highlighted by the 3-1 home win over Leeds last weekend, but we shouldn’t expect a goal-laden game here. Instead, Dyche will focus on keeping things tight, which should keep the goal count down.
Nevertheless, the home side should have what it takes to get over the line against a Forest side that remains in a relegation fight.
Pick: Liverpool to Win & Under 4.5 Goals
Manchester City vs. Newcastle United
Newcastle’s home form has been exceptional, with five consecutive wins at St. James’ Park. However, it has lost two of its five Premier League home matches. Those defeats came against Arsenal and Liverpool, the teams either side of Manchester City in the outright betting for the title. We’re expecting this match to play out similarly.
The Citizens have lost just one of their last 14 matches across all competitions, winning 11. During that impressive run, City has conceded just 0.57 goals per game and scored 2.36. Pep’s team is improving at both ends of the pitch, and Erling Haaland’s incredible form makes the visitors the best bet here.
City has an exceptional record against Newcastle, remaining unbeaten in the last 12 league meetings between the sides. Over that period, Pep’s team has won nine, netting an average of three goals per game, 2.08 more than Newcastle.
Pick: Manchester City to Win
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